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下面附上一則新聞讓大家了解時事
工商時報【張志榮╱台北報導】
前外資券商分析師陸行之表示,格羅方德在中國重慶蓋12吋廠,要看是生產14還是28奈米,若是14奈米才會對台積電帶來「些微感覺」,因為格羅方德在美國已有1座生產14奈米的12吋廠,已經輸給台積電的16奈米,實在沒理由在中國會對台積電逆轉勝。
陸行之指出,目前看來,格羅方德在重慶蓋的12吋廠,應該只是既有資本支出計畫的一環,只是地點從其他城市改為重慶,原因跟台積電一樣,都是考量到稅賦優惠,因應未來中國政府可能提高進口關稅等變數,否則中國半導體產業的群聚效應並不強,在中國蓋12吋廠只有市場、沒有成本優惠。
陸行之表示,在中國蓋12吋廠的半導體廠商,只有台積電是生產16奈米,聯電、力晶、中芯、華虹等仍是28奈米舊製程。目前格羅方德在美國有座12吋廠,透過從三星授權生產14奈米,但迄今還是無法從蘋網友果手中拿到任何AP訂單,即便在重慶生產14奈米,對台積電也不會帶來威脅。
歐系外資券商分析師認為,跟10與7奈米的高階製程相比,說不定16奈米已被視為「成熟製程」,不管格羅方德用12吋廠生產28或14奈米,也只能搶中國二線客戶,因為一線客戶還是會先與台積電合作。
不過,著眼於中國龐大半導體市場需求,格羅方德前進重慶設廠仍有其必要,港商里昂證券半導體分析師侯明孝指出,第2季中國中低階智慧型手機供應鏈(包括晶圓代工、封測、AP、面板驅動IC、電源管理IC、DRAM廠商)強勁需求將延續到第3季。
因此,侯明孝預估整體中國中低階智慧型手機供應鏈都可望從中受惠,以聯發科為例,除了第2季營收成長率財測為24%至32%之外,第3季剛開始下給晶圓代工的晶圓訂單就季增10%至15%,以目前外資圈關於第3季營收成長率平均預估值僅有5%來看,應有調升的空間。
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